Portland Thorns W v Chelsea W: the model read
Portland Thorns W meet Chelsea W in the International Champions Cup - Women 3rd place final at Providence Park, Portland, Oregon. The model makes Chelsea W the most likely outcome at 43%, with the full read 29% POR, 28% draw, 43% CHE.
Chelsea W rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1719 to 1581. Recent form leans Chelsea W, 78% against 60%. Attacking output favors Chelsea W on expected goals, 2.5 to 1.5 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 64%, over 2.5 goals around 69%. Draw no bet leans Chelsea W at 60%; double chance reads Portland Thorns W or draw 57%, Chelsea W or draw 71%.
Portland Thorns W arrive patchy: 1W-2D-2L from their last five (5/15 pts), 9 scored and 8 conceded. Recent results: D 2-2 v NJ/NY Gotham FC W, L 1-2 @ Denver Summit W, L 0-2 @ Seattle Reign FC W, W 4-0 v Racing Louisville W.
Chelsea W are in good touch: 4W-0D-1L from their last five (12/15 pts), 12 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: W 1-0 v Manchester United W, L 2-3 v Manchester City W, W 3-1 @ Leicester City FC W, W 4-1 @ Everton W.
Chelsea W hold the recent head-to-head, 1 wins to 0 across the last 1 meetings. Most recently they met in 2022: Portland Thorns W 0-1 Chelsea W.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 53 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
