Lyon W v Chelsea W: the model read
Lyon W meet Chelsea W in the International Champions Cup - Women semi-final at Providence Park, Portland, Oregon. The model makes Lyon W the most likely outcome at 43%, with the full read 43% LYO, 28% draw, 29% CHE.
The baseline ratings are close, 1707 to 1719, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 78% against 78%. Attacking output favors Lyon W on expected goals, 2.8 to 2.5 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 70%, over 2.5 goals around 75%. Draw no bet leans Lyon W at 60%; double chance reads Lyon W or draw 71%, Chelsea W or draw 57%.
Lyon W arrive in good touch: 4W-0D-1L from their last five (12/15 pts), 19 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: W 5-0 v Paris FC W, L 0-4 @ Barcelona W, W 8-0 v Nantes W, W 3-1 v Montpellier W.
Chelsea W are in good touch: 4W-0D-1L from their last five (12/15 pts), 12 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: W 1-0 v Manchester United W, L 2-3 v Manchester City W, W 3-1 @ Leicester City FC W, W 4-1 @ Everton W.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 53 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
