Balma v Agde: the model read
Balma meet Agde in the National 3 - Group H occitanie - 14 at Stade Nicolas Campailla, Balma.
The baseline ratings are close, 1420 to 1400, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 38% against 30%. Attacking output favors Balma on expected goals, 1.3 to 0.9 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 53%, over 2.5 goals around 52%. Draw no bet leans Balma at 57%; double chance reads Balma or draw 70%, Agde or draw 60%.
Balma arrive in good touch: 3W-0D-2L from their last five (9/15 pts, 2 straight defeats), 11 scored and 9 conceded. Recent results: L 1-2 @ Beziers, L 0-1 v Montpellier II, W 5-4 @ Salinieres Aigues Mortes, W 2-1 v Castanet.
Agde are patchy: 1W-0D-4L from their last five (3/15 pts), 3 scored and 12 conceded. Recent results: L 1-4 @ Pau II, W 2-1 v Alberes Argelès, L 0-2 @ Castanet, L 0-3 v Bassin d'Arcachon Sud.
Agde hold the recent head-to-head, 4 wins to 2 across the last 6 meetings. Most recently they met in 2023: Balma 2-4 Agde.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 52 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
