Carquefou v Trégunc: the model read
Carquefou meet Trégunc in the Coupe de France 7th round at Stade du Moulin Boisseau, Carquefou. The model makes Carquefou the most likely outcome at 48%, with the full read 48% CAR, 30% draw, 22% TRÉ.
The baseline ratings are close, 1489 to 1400, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Carquefou, 53% against 3%. Attacking output favors Carquefou on expected goals, 0.9 to 0.8 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 33%, over 2.5 goals around 68%. Draw no bet leans Carquefou at 69%; double chance reads Carquefou or draw 78%, Trégunc or draw 52%.
Carquefou arrive patchy: 0W-3D-2L from their last five (3/15 pts), 5 scored and 9 conceded. Recent results: D 0-0 v Trégunc, D 1-1 @ Drapeau Fougères, L 1-4 @ Gazelec FC Ajaccio, L 1-2 v Amiens.
Trégunc are out of sorts: 0W-0D-5L from their last five (0/15 pts, 5 straight defeats), 5 scored and 25 conceded. Recent results: L 2-10 @ Drapeau Fougères, L 0-3 v TA Rennes, L 1-4 @ Guipry-Messac, L 0-2 v Plouzané.
Their last 1 meetings are tight — 1 drawn. Most recently they met in 2021: Carquefou 0-0 Trégunc.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 54 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
