PSM Makassar v Persepam Madura Utd: the model read
PSM Makassar meet Persepam Madura Utd in the Piala Indonesia semi-finals. The model makes Persepam Madura Utd the most likely outcome at 38%, with the full read 32% PSM, 31% draw, 38% PER.
The baseline ratings are close, 1400 to 1431, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Persepam Madura Utd, 38% against 28%. Attacking output favors Persepam Madura Utd on expected goals, 1.2 to 0.9 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 53%, over 2.5 goals around 49%. Draw no bet leans Persepam Madura Utd at 54%; double chance reads PSM Makassar or draw 62%, Persepam Madura Utd or draw 68%.
PSM Makassar arrive patchy: 1W-0D-4L from their last five (3/15 pts, 3 straight defeats), 3 scored and 10 conceded. Recent results: L 0-2 @ Persepam Madura Utd, L 1-2 v Persib Bandung, L 0-3 @ Arema FC, W 2-1 v Bhayangkara FC.
Persepam Madura Utd are in good touch: 3W-0D-2L from their last five (9/15 pts), 7 scored and 5 conceded. Recent results: W 2-0 v PSM Makassar, L 1-2 @ PSIM Yogyakarta, L 1-3 @ Bhayangkara FC, W 2-0 v Bali United.
The recent head-to-head is even, 4 apiece with 2 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Persepam Madura Utd 2-0 PSM Makassar.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 51 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
