Luçon v Les Herbiers: the model read
Luçon meet Les Herbiers in the National 1 regular season - 34 at Stade Jean de Mouzon, Luçon. The model makes Les Herbiers the most likely outcome at 42%, with the full read 29% LUÇ, 29% draw, 42% LES.
The baseline ratings are close, 1408 to 1512, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Les Herbiers, 50% against 38%. Attacking output favors Les Herbiers on expected goals, 1.5 to 1.3 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 60%, over 2.5 goals around 63%. Draw no bet leans Les Herbiers at 59%; double chance reads Luçon or draw 58%, Les Herbiers or draw 71%.
Luçon arrive out of sorts: 0W-1D-4L from their last five (1/15 pts), 5 scored and 16 conceded. Recent results: L 0-2 v Laval, D 3-3 v Les Herbiers, L 0-1 @ Beziers, L 1-5 v Orleans.
Les Herbiers are patchy: 1W-2D-2L from their last five (5/15 pts), 9 scored and 9 conceded. Recent results: L 1-3 @ Angers, W 3-0 v Châteaubriant, L 0-1 @ Bordeaux, D 3-3 v Avranches.
The recent head-to-head is even, 2 apiece with 2 drawn across the last 6 meetings. Most recently they met in 2016: Luçon 3-3 Les Herbiers.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 53 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
