Miramar v Villa Espanola: the model read
Miramar meet Villa Espanola in the Segunda División 2nd phase - 15 at Parque Luis Méndez Piana, Montevideo. The model makes Miramar the most likely outcome at 34%, with the full read 34% MIR, 34% draw, 32% VIL.
The baseline ratings are close, 1444 to 1420, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 42% against 39%. Attacking output favors Miramar on expected goals, 1.1 to 0.8 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 31%, over 2.5 goals around 23%. Draw no bet leans Miramar at 52%; double chance reads Miramar or draw 68%, Villa Espanola or draw 66%.
Miramar arrive steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts), 7 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: L 0-1 @ Cerrito, D 1-1 v Atenas, W 3-1 @ Island Bay, W 3-2 @ Paysandu.
Villa Espanola are patchy: 1W-2D-2L from their last five (5/15 pts), 4 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: L 0-2 v Boston River, D 1-1 @ Nacional CNF, D 0-0 @ Platense, L 1-2 v Racing Montevideo.
Miramar hold the recent head-to-head, 4 wins to 3 with 3 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2022: Villa Espanola 1-2 Miramar.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 50 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
