Alumni v Guillermo Brown: the model read
Alumni meet Guillermo Brown in the Torneo Federal A 2nd phase reválida 1 - play-offs final at Estadio Roberto Lorenzo Bottino, undefined. The model makes the draw the most likely outcome at 35%, with the full read 32% ALU, 35% draw, 33% GUI.
The baseline ratings are close, 1400 to 1400, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 33% against 33%. Attacking output favors Alumni on expected goals, 0.8 to 0.8 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 28%, over 2.5 goals around 19%. Draw no bet leans Guillermo Brown at 51%; double chance reads Alumni or draw 67%, Guillermo Brown or draw 68%.
Alumni arrive patchy: 1W-1D-3L from their last five (4/15 pts), 3 scored and 8 conceded. Recent results: L 1-2 v Guillermo Brown, D 0-0 @ Racing Cordoba, W 2-0 v Libertad Asuncion, L 0-2 @ Guaraní A. Franco.
Guillermo Brown are patchy: 1W-1D-3L from their last five (4/15 pts), 1 scored and 7 conceded. Recent results: L 0-3 @ Villa Mitre, W 1-0 v Circulo Deportivo, L 0-3 @ Kimberley Mar del Plata, L 0-1 v Sol de Mayo.
Guillermo Brown hold the recent head-to-head, 1 wins to 0 across the last 1 meetings. Most recently they met in 2013: Alumni 1-2 Guillermo Brown.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 50 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
