Atletico Grau claimed the Supercopa trophy with a 3-0 victory over Deportivo Binacional at the Estadio Miguel Grau del Callao, a result that was more emphatic than the Lemeister model had projected. The model entered the match with Atletico Grau as a 40 per cent favourite and a projected 1-0 away win, but the actual margin of victory was three goals, achieved inside the opening 47 minutes. The decisive factor was a concentrated burst of attacking efficiency that left Deportivo Binacional unable to recover.
The scoring began in the 22nd minute when J. Neira found the net, with J. Collazos providing the assist for a normal goal. Three minutes later, at 25 minutes, C. Lasso doubled the lead with an unassisted strike, a rapid double that shifted the match's momentum decisively. Two minutes into the second half, in the 47th minute, J. Collazos scored a normal goal of his own, this time assisted by C. Lasso, completing the scoring. Each goal was a standard finish, with no penalties or own goals involved, and the three scorers, Neira, Lasso and Collazos, each contributed directly to the attacking output. The assist sequence, Collazos to Neira, then Lasso unassisted, then Lasso to Collazos, illustrates a cohesive front line that created danger from multiple sources within a short window.
Detailed match statistics and player ratings were not available for this report, which limits the depth of numerical analysis. However, the timing and structure of the goals provide a clear narrative. The double in the 22nd and 25th minutes was the pivotal moment, overwhelming Deportivo Binacional's defence before they could settle. The third goal, arriving just two minutes after the interval, effectively ended any prospect of a comeback. There were no cards issued during the contest, suggesting a disciplined encounter, and both teams made three substitutions, but the changes could not alter the momentum that Atletico Grau had established.
The absence of possession, shot, expected goals and passing data means the goal timeline must serve as the primary analytical framework. Deportivo Binacional, playing as the home side at the Estadio Miguel Grau del Callao in Callao, were unable to create a single response across the 90 minutes. The identity of the scorers, Neira, Lasso and Collazos, highlights the specific contributors who delivered the victory. Lasso's involvement in two goals, one as scorer and one as assister, and Collazos's role in two goals, one as scorer and one as assister, point to their centrality in the attacking phase. Neira's opening goal set the tone, and the rapid succession of strikes left the opposition with no foothold.
The Lemeister model had given Atletico Grau a 40 per cent chance of victory, with Deportivo Binacional at 28 per cent and a 32 per cent probability of a draw. The projected scoreline was a 1-0 away win, but the actual result exceeded that projection by two goals, including a clean sheet. The model's expectation of a tight contest was confounded by the early flurry of goals, which compressed the match's decisive action into a 25-minute span.
For Deportivo Binacional, this is a painful defeat in a one-off final. They were the designated home side but could not translate that advantage into goals or sustained pressure, based on the available data. Atletico Grau, meanwhile, have claimed the Supercopa trophy with a performance that was decisive and efficient. The three-goal margin and the clean sheet represent a statement victory, underpinned by the contributions of Neira, Lasso and Collazos, and confirm their status as champions in a competition that rewards clinical execution.
