Monterrey v Santos Laguna: the model read
Monterrey meet Santos Laguna in the Copa MX quarter-finals at Estadio BBVA Bancomer, Guadalupe. The model makes Monterrey the most likely outcome at 40%, with the full read 40% MON, 29% draw, 31% SAN.
The baseline ratings are close, 1443 to 1400, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 40% against 33%. Attacking output favors Monterrey on expected goals, 1.4 to 1.2 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 60%, over 2.5 goals around 60%. Draw no bet leans Monterrey at 56%; double chance reads Monterrey or draw 69%, Santos Laguna or draw 60%.
Monterrey arrive steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts), 9 scored and 9 conceded. Recent results: L 1-2 @ Necaxa, W 3-2 v Santos Laguna, D 1-1 @ Atlante FC, W 4-1 @ Cancún.
Santos Laguna are steady: 2W-0D-3L from their last five (6/15 pts, 3 straight defeats), 6 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: L 0-1 v Atlas, L 2-3 @ Monterrey, L 0-1 v America de Cali, W 2-1 @ NY Cosmos.
Monterrey hold the recent head-to-head, 7 wins to 2 with 1 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Monterrey 3-2 Santos Laguna.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 52 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
