North Korea v Turkmenistan: the model read
North Korea meet Turkmenistan in the World Cup - Qualification Asia group h - 10 at Goyang Stadium, Goyang. The model makes North Korea the most likely outcome at 36%, with the full read 36% NOR, 31% draw, 32% TUR.
The baseline ratings are close, 1400 to 1400, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 32% against 32%. Attacking output favors North Korea on expected goals, 1.1 to 1.0 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 48%, over 2.5 goals around 42%. Draw no bet leans North Korea at 53%; double chance reads North Korea or draw 68%, Turkmenistan or draw 64%.
North Korea arrive out of sorts: 0W-2D-3L from their last five (2/15 pts), 5 scored and 13 conceded. Recent results: L 0-3 @ Iran, D 2-2 v Kyrgyzstan, L 1-2 v United Arab Emirates, L 1-5 @ Qatar.
Turkmenistan are steady: 2W-0D-3L from their last five (6/15 pts), 7 scored and 7 conceded. Recent results: L 1-2 @ Thailand, W 3-1 v Chinese Taipei, W 2-1 v Sri Lanka, L 0-1 @ Sri Lanka.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 51 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
