Where the market is wrong on FC Tallinn v Laagri
FC Tallinn meet Laagri in the Cup round of 16 at Lasnamäe Sports Complex Stadium, Tallinn.
The baseline ratings are close, 1480 to 1512, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 45% against 48%. Attacking output favors Laagri on expected goals, 2.3 to 1.4 per match.
FC Tallinn arrive steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts), 9 scored and 17 conceded. Recent results: L 0-10 v Laagri, W 5-0 v Harju JK Laagri U21, D 1-1 @ Elva, L 1-5 v FCI Levadia II.
Laagri are steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts), 14 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: W 10-0 @ FC Tallinn, D 0-0 v Kuressaare, W 2-1 @ Paide, L 2-3 @ Vaprus.
Laagri hold the recent head-to-head, 3 wins to 0 with 2 drawn across the last 5 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: FC Tallinn 0-10 Laagri.
The market prices FC at 7% implied. Our number sits apart on FC Tallinn: a 16.0-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 56 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
