Sevilla v Aston Villa: the model read
Sevilla meet Aston Villa in the Friendlies Clubs club friendlies.
The baseline ratings are close, 1592 to 1558, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 60% against 55%. Attacking output favors Aston Villa on expected goals, 2.1 to 1.2 per match.
Sevilla arrive steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts, 2 straight defeats), 5 scored and 7 conceded. Recent results: L 1-3 v Aston Villa, L 1-3 v Barcelona, W 1-0 @ Deportivo La Coruna, W 1-0 v Valencia.
Aston Villa are in good touch: 4W-0D-1L from their last five (12/15 pts, 3 straight wins), 13 scored and 8 conceded. Recent results: W 3-1 @ Sevilla, W 3-2 @ Tottenham, W 3-1 @ Coventry, L 1-2 v Nottingham Forest.
Aston Villa hold the recent head-to-head, 1 wins to 0 across the last 1 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Sevilla 1-3 Aston Villa.
The market prices SEV at 34% implied. Our number sits apart on the draw: a 2.3-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 51 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
