Where the market is wrong on Kenya U23 v Tanzania U23
Kenya U23 meet Tanzania U23 in the CAF U23 Cup of Nations quarter-finals.
Kenya U23 rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1650 to 1471. Recent form leans Kenya U23, 70% against 50%. Attacking output favors Kenya U23 on expected goals, 1.8 to 0.9 per match.
Kenya U23 arrive in good touch: 3W-1D-1L from their last five (10/15 pts), 9 scored and 2 conceded. Recent results: W 4-1 v Tanzania U23, L 0-1 @ South Sudan U23, D 0-0 @ Burundi U23, W 2-0 @ South Sudan U23.
Tanzania U23 are patchy: 0W-3D-2L from their last five (3/15 pts, 2 straight defeats), 5 scored and 10 conceded. Recent results: L 1-4 @ Kenya U23, L 0-2 @ Nigeria U23, D 1-1 v Nigeria U23, D 3-3 @ South Sudan U23.
Kenya U23 hold the recent head-to-head, 1 wins to 0 across the last 1 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Kenya U23 4-1 Tanzania U23.
The market prices KEN at 45% implied. Our number sits apart on Kenya U23: a 6.3-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 71 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output