Where the market is wrong on Oriental v Fenix
Oriental meet Fenix in the Segunda División 2nd phase - 20.
The baseline ratings are close, 1535 to 1454, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Oriental, 55% against 45%. Attacking output favors Oriental on expected goals, 1.4 to 1.4 per match.
Oriental arrive in good touch: 3W-1D-1L from their last five (10/15 pts, 2 straight wins), 8 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: W 3-2 v Fenix, W 2-0 @ Rentistas, D 1-1 @ Central Espanol, L 1-3 v Miramar.
Fenix are patchy: 1W-1D-3L from their last five (4/15 pts, 2 straight defeats), 7 scored and 9 conceded. Recent results: L 2-3 @ Oriental, L 2-3 @ Boston River, D 1-1 v Colón, W 1-0 @ CA River Plate.
Oriental hold the recent head-to-head, 3 wins to 2 with 1 drawn across the last 6 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Oriental 3-2 Fenix.
The market prices ORI at 32% implied. Our number sits apart on Oriental: a 7.4-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 70 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
