El Salvador v Jamaica: the model read
El Salvador meet Jamaica in the CONCACAF Nations League league a - 2 at Estadio Cuscatlan, San Salvador.
Jamaica rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1589 to 1420. Recent form leans Jamaica, 61% against 38%. Attacking output favors Jamaica on expected goals, 1.4 to 0.8 per match.
El Salvador arrive steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts), 8 scored and 12 conceded. Recent results: L 0-6 @ Guatemala, W 3-1 v Martinique, D 2-2 @ Club Tijuana, L 0-3 @ Los Angeles FC.
Jamaica are steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts), 6 scored and 7 conceded. Recent results: L 0-1 v Honduras, W 3-2 v Guatemala, D 1-1 v South Africa, L 0-3 v Nigeria.
The recent head-to-head is even, 1 apiece with 4 drawn across the last 6 meetings. Most recently they met in 2022: Jamaica 1-1 El Salvador.
The market prices EL at 28% implied. Our number sits apart on Jamaica: a 2.7-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 61 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
