Where the market is wrong on Rylands v Chorley
Rylands meet Chorley in the FA Cup 2nd round qualifying.
Rylands rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1558 to 1420. Recent form leans Rylands, 55% against 37%. Attacking output favors Rylands on expected goals, 1.4 to 1.1 per match.
Rylands arrive in good touch: 3W-1D-1L from their last five (10/15 pts), 9 scored and 5 conceded. Recent results: L 0-1 v Chorley, D 1-1 v Stockton Town, W 3-1 v Hyde United, W 3-1 v Bamber Bridge.
Chorley are steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts), 8 scored and 10 conceded. Recent results: W 1-0 @ Rylands, L 0-2 @ King's Lynn Town, W 5-2 v Darlington 1883, L 0-4 @ Oxford City.
Chorley hold the recent head-to-head, 2 wins to 0 across the last 2 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Rylands 0-1 Chorley.
The market prices RYL at 30% implied. Our number sits apart on Rylands: a 10.4-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 78 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
