Where the market is wrong on Throttur Reykjavik v Njardvik
Throttur Reykjavik meet Njardvik in the 1. Deild semi-finals.
The baseline ratings are close, 1638 to 1581, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Throttur Reykjavik, 68% against 57%. Attacking output favors Throttur Reykjavik on expected goals, 2.2 to 1.9 per match.
Throttur Reykjavik arrive in good touch: 4W-0D-1L from their last five (12/15 pts, 4 straight wins), 12 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: W 2-1 v Njardvik, W 1-0 @ Njardvik, W 2-0 @ Vestri, W 7-2 v Ægir.
Njardvik are steady: 2W-0D-3L from their last five (6/15 pts, 2 straight defeats), 7 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: L 1-2 @ Throttur Reykjavik, L 0-1 v Throttur Reykjavik, W 2-1 v Afturelding, L 0-2 @ Leiknir R..
The market prices THR at 55% implied. Our number sits apart on Njardvik: a 8.5-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 52 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
