Where the market is wrong on Lyon W v Chelsea W
Lyon W meet Chelsea W in the UEFA Champions League Women league stage - 2 at Groupama Stadium, Lyon.
The baseline ratings are close, 1707 to 1742, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 78% against 83%. Attacking output favors Lyon W on expected goals, 3.8 to 2.0 per match.
Lyon W arrive surging: 4W-1D-0L from their last five (13/15 pts, 5 unbeaten), 30 scored and 3 conceded. Recent results: D 0-0 v Chelsea W, W 8-0 @ Servette Chênois W, W 8-1 @ Le Havre W, W 7-1 v Paris FC W.
Chelsea W are surging: 4W-1D-0L from their last five (13/15 pts, 5 unbeaten), 9 scored and 0 conceded. Recent results: D 0-0 @ Lyon W, W 1-0 v Arsenal W, W 1-0 v Austria Wien W, W 2-0 v Birmingham City W.
The recent head-to-head is even, 1 apiece with 2 drawn across the last 4 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Lyon W 0-0 Chelsea W.
The market prices LYO at 64% implied. Our number sits apart on Chelsea W: a 14.0-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 53 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
