Mafra v Tirsense: the model read
Mafra meet Tirsense in the Taça de Portugal round of 128.
The baseline ratings are close, 1541 to 1581, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Tirsense, 63% against 53%. Attacking output favors Mafra on expected goals, 1.6 to 1.1 per match.
Mafra arrive in good touch: 3W-1D-1L from their last five (10/15 pts, 2 straight wins), 11 scored and 5 conceded. Recent results: W 1-0 v SC Covilha, W 3-2 @ Atlético Malveira, L 1-2 @ Lusitano Évora 1911, D 1-1 @ Atlético CP.
Tirsense are steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts), 6 scored and 4 conceded. Recent results: L 1-2 @ Celoricense, W 3-0 v Vinhais, W 1-0 @ Rebordosa, L 0-1 v Varzim.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 52 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
