Where the market is wrong on PAOK v OFI
PAOK meet OFI in the Cup greek cup - 1 at Toumba Stadium, Thessaloniki.
The baseline ratings are close, 1523 to 1500, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 53% against 48%. Attacking output favors PAOK on expected goals, 1.9 to 1.6 per match.
PAOK arrive steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts), 11 scored and 8 conceded. Recent results: W 2-1 @ Atromitos, L 2-3 @ Brann, W 4-0 v Levadiakos, D 1-1 v Brann.
OFI are in good touch: 3W-1D-1L from their last five (10/15 pts), 10 scored and 4 conceded. Recent results: L 1-2 @ Aris Thessalonikis, W 2-0 @ CSKA Sofia, W 2-0 v Volos NFC, W 3-0 v CSKA Sofia.
PAOK hold the recent head-to-head, 5 wins to 3 with 2 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: PAOK 2-3 OFI.
The market prices PAO at 67% implied. Our number sits apart on OFI: a 20.1-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 52 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
