Where the market is wrong on Cuniburo v Atletico FC
Cuniburo meet Atletico FC in the Liga Pro Serie B promotion group - 1.
The baseline ratings are close, 1558 to 1512, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 57% against 55%. Attacking output favors Cuniburo on expected goals, 1.3 to 1.0 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 24%, over 2.5 goals around 16%. Draw no bet leans Cuniburo at 51%; double chance reads Cuniburo or draw 68%, Atletico FC or draw 67%.
Cuniburo arrive steady: 2W-2D-1L from their last five (8/15 pts), 5 scored and 3 conceded. Recent results: W 1-0 v Atletico FC, D 0-0 @ Santo Domingo, D 0-0 v LDU Portoviejo, W 2-0 @ Deportivo Cuenca Juniors.
Atletico FC are steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts), 4 scored and 2 conceded. Recent results: L 0-1 @ Cuniburo, W 3-0 v Cumbayá, D 0-0 @ Gualaceo SC, L 0-1 v Santo Domingo.
Cuniburo hold the recent head-to-head, 2 wins to 1 across the last 3 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Cuniburo 1-0 Atletico FC.
The market prices CUN at 51% implied. Our number sits apart on Atletico FC: a 11.9-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 65 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output