Where the market is wrong on Millonarios W v La Equidad W
Millonarios W meet La Equidad W in the Liga Femenina promotion group - 1.
The baseline ratings are close, 1674 to 1615, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Millonarios W, 76% against 65%. Attacking output favors Millonarios W on expected goals, 1.9 to 1.4 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 34%, over 2.5 goals around 30%. Draw no bet leans Millonarios W at 59%; double chance reads Millonarios W or draw 72%, La Equidad W or draw 60%.
Millonarios W arrive in good touch: 3W-2D-0L from their last five (11/15 pts, 5 unbeaten), 9 scored and 4 conceded. Recent results: D 2-2 v La Equidad W, W 3-1 @ Deportivo Cali W, W 1-0 v Santa Fe W, D 0-0 @ Junior W.
La Equidad W are steady: 2W-2D-1L from their last five (8/15 pts, 4 unbeaten), 5 scored and 4 conceded. Recent results: D 2-2 @ Millonarios W, W 2-0 v Real Santander W, D 0-0 @ Deportivo Pasto W, W 1-0 v Fortaleza W.
The market prices MIL at 63% implied. Our number sits apart on La Equidad W: a 13.8-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 52 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
