Where the market is wrong on Zaqatala v Baku Sportinq
Zaqatala meet Baku Sportinq in the Birinci Dasta regular season - 2.
Baku Sportinq rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1569 to 1400. Recent form leans Baku Sportinq, 60% against 30%. Attacking output favors Baku Sportinq on expected goals, 1.3 to 1.0 per match.
Zaqatala arrive steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts), 7 scored and 9 conceded. Recent results: W 3-0 v Baku Sportinq, D 2-2 @ Mingəçevir, W 2-1 v Safa Baku, L 0-3 @ Baku Sportinq.
Baku Sportinq are steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts, 2 straight defeats), 7 scored and 9 conceded. Recent results: L 0-3 @ Zaqatala, L 0-3 v Karvan, D 1-1 @ Şahdağ, W 3-0 v Zaqatala.
The market prices ZAQ at 26% implied. Our number sits apart on the draw: a 6.9-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 53 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output