Fløya v Junkeren

Fløya meet Junkeren in the NM Cupen round 1 at Floyabanen, Tromso.

Fløya rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1604 to 1483. Recent form leans Fløya, 63% against 44%. Attacking output favors Fløya on expected goals, 2.5 to 1.6 per match.

Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 85%, over 2.5 goals around 93%. Draw no bet leans Fløya at 62%; double chance reads Fløya or draw 72%, Junkeren or draw 54%.

Fløya arrive in good touch: 4W-0D-1L from their last five (12/15 pts, 3 straight wins), 19 scored and 9 conceded. Recent results: W 5-3 v Junkeren, W 3-1 @ Skjervøy, W 7-0 v Ulfstind, L 1-3 @ Alta.

Junkeren are steady: 2W-0D-3L from their last five (6/15 pts, 2 straight defeats), 9 scored and 12 conceded. Recent results: L 3-5 @ Fløya, L 0-2 @ Kjelsås, W 4-1 v Follo, L 1-4 @ Eidsvold.

Junkeren hold the recent head-to-head, 2 wins to 1 across the last 3 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Fløya 5-3 Junkeren.

The market prices FLØ at 24% implied. Our number sits apart on Fløya: a 21.7-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 84 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.