Padiham v Pontefract Collieries: the model read
Padiham meet Pontefract Collieries in the FA Trophy 1st round qualifying.
Pontefract Collieries rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1650 to 1466. Recent form leans Pontefract Collieries, 71% against 43%. Attacking output favors Pontefract Collieries on expected goals, 2.2 to 1.5 per match.
Padiham arrive patchy: 1W-1D-3L from their last five (4/15 pts, 2 straight defeats), 5 scored and 13 conceded. Recent results: L 0-7 v Pontefract Collieries, L 0-3 @ Congleton Town, W 4-1 @ Penistone Church, L 0-1 @ Golcar United.
Pontefract Collieries are steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts), 14 scored and 10 conceded. Recent results: W 7-0 @ Padiham, L 1-3 v Guiseley AFC, W 2-1 @ Dunston UTS, D 2-2 v AFC Emley.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 55 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
