Where the market is wrong on Fezzanese v Gozzano
Fezzanese meet Gozzano in the Serie D - Girone A group a - 4.
The baseline ratings are close, 1443 to 1523, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Gozzano, 55% against 43%. Attacking output favors Fezzanese on expected goals, 1.3 to 1.1 per match.
Fezzanese arrive steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts, 2 straight defeats), 6 scored and 5 conceded. Recent results: L 0-2 @ Imperia, L 0-2 v Gozzano, W 3-0 @ Sestri Levante, W 2-0 v Chisola.
Gozzano are steady: 2W-2D-1L from their last five (8/15 pts, 2 straight wins), 4 scored and 3 conceded. Recent results: W 2-1 v Sanremese, W 2-0 @ Fezzanese, D 0-0 v Borgosesia, L 0-2 @ Asti.
Gozzano hold the recent head-to-head, 4 wins to 0 with 1 drawn across the last 5 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Fezzanese 0-2 Gozzano.
The market prices FEZ at 40% implied. Our number sits apart on Gozzano: a 8.3-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 72 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
