Where the market is wrong on OH Leuven W v Czarni Sosnowiec W
OH Leuven W meet Czarni Sosnowiec W in the UEFA Champions League Women 3rd qualifying round at Den Dreef, Heverlee.
The baseline ratings are close, 1719 to 1673, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 80% against 73%. Attacking output favors Czarni Sosnowiec W on expected goals, 3.0 to 1.9 per match.
OH Leuven W arrive surging: 4W-1D-0L from their last five (13/15 pts, 2 straight wins), 14 scored and 5 conceded. Recent results: W 2-1 v Czarni Sosnowiec W, W 4-1 @ Czarni Sosnowiec W, D 1-1 v Fenerbahce W, W 4-0 v TSC W.
Czarni Sosnowiec W are steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts, 2 straight defeats), 12 scored and 11 conceded. Recent results: L 1-2 @ OH Leuven W, L 1-4 v OH Leuven W, W 3-0 v Legia W, D 3-3 @ GKS Katowice W.
The market prices OH at 66% implied. Our number sits apart on Czarni Sosnowiec W: a 22.1-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 81 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
