Where the market is wrong on ABB v Universitario de Vinto
ABB meet Universitario de Vinto in the Primera División apertura - 18.
The baseline ratings are close, 1420 to 1400, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 35% against 28%. Attacking output favors ABB on expected goals, 1.6 to 1.2 per match.
ABB arrive patchy: 1W-1D-3L from their last five (4/15 pts), 7 scored and 10 conceded. Recent results: W 2-0 v Universitario de Vinto, L 0-1 v Always Ready, L 1-4 @ Bolívar, D 2-2 v Gualberto Villarroel SJ.
Universitario de Vinto are patchy: 1W-1D-3L from their last five (4/15 pts), 7 scored and 9 conceded. Recent results: L 0-2 @ ABB, D 1-1 v Aurora, W 2-0 v Nacional Potosí, L 3-4 @ The Strongest.
The market prices ABB at 48% implied. Our number sits apart on Universitario de Vinto: a 6.7-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 52 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
