Where the market is wrong on UD Logroñés v Mirandes
UD Logroñés meet Mirandes in the Friendlies Clubs club friendlies.
UD Logroñés rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1719 to 1489. Recent form leans UD Logroñés, 80% against 48%. Attacking output favors UD Logroñés on expected goals, 2.4 to 1.1 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 31%, over 2.5 goals around 68%. Draw no bet leans UD Logroñés at 79%; double chance reads UD Logroñés or draw 84%, Mirandes or draw 41%.
UD Logroñés arrive in good touch: 3W-1D-1L from their last five (10/15 pts, 2 straight wins), 11 scored and 3 conceded. Recent results: W 4-0 v Huesca II, W 4-0 v Mirandes, L 1-2 v Zaragoza, W 1-0 @ Huesca.
Mirandes are in good touch: 3W-1D-1L from their last five (10/15 pts), 4 scored and 5 conceded. Recent results: L 0-4 @ UD Logroñés, W 1-0 @ La Calzada, D 0-0 @ Real Madrid II, W 2-1 @ Atlético Madrid II.
UD Logroñés hold the recent head-to-head, 3 wins to 0 across the last 3 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: UD Logroñés 4-0 Mirandes.
The market prices UD at 22% implied. Our number sits apart on UD Logroñés: a 37.3-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 88 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
