Torrijos v Quintanar del Rey: the model read
Torrijos meet Quintanar del Rey in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 18 group 18 - 4.
The baseline ratings are close, 1523 to 1477, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Torrijos, 55% against 45%. Attacking output favors Quintanar del Rey on expected goals, 1.3 to 1.0 per match.
Torrijos arrive surging: 4W-1D-0L from their last five (13/15 pts), 8 scored and 1 conceded. Recent results: W 2-0 v Quintanar del Rey, D 1-1 @ Socuéllamos, W 1-0 v Tarancón, W 1-0 @ Guadalajara II.
Quintanar del Rey are patchy: 1W-2D-2L from their last five (5/15 pts), 8 scored and 10 conceded. Recent results: L 0-2 @ Torrijos, D 2-2 v Illescas, D 1-1 @ Villarrobledo, L 2-4 v Toledo.
The market prices TOR at 39% implied. Our number sits apart on Quintanar del Rey: a 2.7-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 51 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output