Leicester City FC W v London City Lionesses W

Leicester City FC W meet London City Lionesses W in the WSL Cup group stage at Meadow Lane, Nottingham.

The baseline ratings are close, 1400 to 1512, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans London City Lionesses W, 50% against 18%. Attacking output favors London City Lionesses W on expected goals, 1.4 to 0.5 per match.

Leicester City FC W arrive steady: 2W-0D-3L from their last five (6/15 pts, 3 straight defeats), 5 scored and 9 conceded. Recent results: L 0-4 @ Newcastle United W, L 0-2 v London City Lionesses W, L 0-1 v Ipswich Town W, W 4-2 v Durham W.

London City Lionesses W are in good touch: 4W-0D-1L from their last five (12/15 pts, 3 straight wins), 11 scored and 4 conceded. Recent results: W 2-0 v Brighton W, W 2-0 @ Leicester City FC W, W 4-1 @ Charlton Athletic W, L 1-2 @ West Ham W.

The market prices LEI at 7% implied. Our number sits apart on the draw: a 16.0-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 57 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.