Where the market is wrong on Foggia v Sorrento
Foggia meet Sorrento in the Serie C - Girone C girone c - 7 at Stadio Pino Zaccheria, Foggia.
The baseline ratings are close, 1400 to 1512, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Sorrento, 50% against 25%. Attacking output favors Sorrento on expected goals, 1.1 to 0.6 per match.
Foggia arrive patchy: 1W-1D-3L from their last five (4/15 pts), 4 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: W 2-0 v Sorrento, L 2-3 @ Inter U23, D 0-0 v Savoia, L 0-1 @ SS Monopoli.
Sorrento are in good touch: 3W-0D-2L from their last five (9/15 pts, 2 straight defeats), 7 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: L 0-2 @ Foggia, L 1-2 v Bari, W 3-2 @ Cavese, W 1-0 v AZ Picerno.
Foggia hold the recent head-to-head, 4 wins to 3 with 2 drawn across the last 9 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Foggia 2-0 Sorrento.
The market prices FOG at 38% implied. Our number sits apart on Sorrento: a 6.4-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 67 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
