Where the market is wrong on AZ Picerno v Catania
AZ Picerno meet Catania in the Serie C - Girone C girone c - 5 at Stadio Comunale Donato Curcio, Picerno.
The baseline ratings are close, 1535 to 1443, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans AZ Picerno, 55% against 43%. Attacking output favors AZ Picerno on expected goals, 1.4 to 1.1 per match.
AZ Picerno arrive steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts, 2 straight defeats), 9 scored and 7 conceded. Recent results: L 2-4 v Catania, L 0-1 @ Sorrento, W 4-1 v Inter U23, D 1-1 @ Bari.
Catania are steady: 2W-0D-3L from their last five (6/15 pts), 9 scored and 9 conceded. Recent results: W 4-2 @ AZ Picerno, L 1-2 v Scafatese, W 4-0 v Cosenza, L 0-3 v Savoia.
Catania hold the recent head-to-head, 5 wins to 3 with 2 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: AZ Picerno 2-4 Catania.
The market prices AZ at 30% implied. Our number sits apart on AZ Picerno: a 10.7-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 79 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output