Pianese v Sambenedettese: the model read
Pianese meet Sambenedettese in the Serie C - Girone B girone b - 6 at Stadio Comunale, Piancastagnaio.
The baseline ratings are close, 1420 to 1420, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 43% against 40%. Attacking output favors Sambenedettese on expected goals, 0.9 to 0.9 per match.
Pianese arrive out of sorts: 0W-2D-3L from their last five (2/15 pts), 4 scored and 7 conceded. Recent results: L 2-3 @ Livorno, D 1-1 v Sambenedettese, L 1-2 @ Torres, D 0-0 v Grosseto.
Sambenedettese are out of sorts: 0W-1D-4L from their last five (1/15 pts), 6 scored and 10 conceded. Recent results: L 1-2 v Campobasso FC, D 1-1 @ Pianese, L 2-3 v Atalanta II, L 1-2 @ Pineto.
Pianese hold the recent head-to-head, 1 wins to 0 with 2 drawn across the last 3 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Pianese 1-1 Sambenedettese.
The market prices PIA at 40% implied. Our number sits apart on Sambenedettese: a 2.6-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 50 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
