Where the market is wrong on Latina v Pineto
Latina meet Pineto in the Serie C - Girone B girone b - 1 at Stadio Domenico Francioni, Latina.
The baseline ratings are close, 1466 to 1420, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 45% against 38%. Attacking output favors Latina on expected goals, 1.1 to 0.8 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 32%, over 2.5 goals around 27%. Draw no bet leans Latina at 58%; double chance reads Latina or draw 72%, Pineto or draw 61%.
Latina arrive steady: 2W-2D-1L from their last five (8/15 pts, 4 unbeaten), 9 scored and 5 conceded. Recent results: D 0-0 v Pineto, D 1-1 v Ostia Mare, W 5-2 @ Crotone, W 2-0 v Casertana.
Pineto are patchy: 0W-3D-2L from their last five (3/15 pts), 4 scored and 8 conceded. Recent results: D 0-0 @ Latina, L 1-2 v Gubbio, D 1-1 v Atletico Ascoli, L 1-4 v Scafatese.
Their last 1 meetings are tight — 1 drawn. Most recently they met in 2026: Latina 0-0 Pineto.
The market prices LAT at 45% implied. Our number sits apart on Pineto: a 3.4-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 52 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
