Where the market is wrong on Pergolettese v Trento
Pergolettese meet Trento in the Serie C - Girone A girone a - 7 at Giuseppe Voltini, Crema.
The baseline ratings are close, 1466 to 1523, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 48% against 55%. Attacking output favors Trento on expected goals, 1.3 to 0.7 per match.
Pergolettese arrive steady: 1W-4D-0L from their last five (7/15 pts, 5 unbeaten), 1 scored and 0 conceded. Recent results: D 0-0 v Trento, D 0-0 @ Lecco, D 0-0 v Folgore Caratese, W 1-0 @ Novara.
Trento are in good touch: 2W-3D-0L from their last five (9/15 pts, 5 unbeaten), 7 scored and 2 conceded. Recent results: D 0-0 @ Pergolettese, W 4-0 v PRO Vercelli, D 2-2 @ Giana Erminio, D 0-0 v Union Brescia.
Pergolettese hold the recent head-to-head, 4 wins to 1 with 5 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Pergolettese 0-0 Trento.
The market prices PER at 23% implied. Our number sits apart on the draw: a 8.1-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 71 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
