Guillermo Brown v Santamarina: the model read
Guillermo Brown meet Santamarina in the Torneo Federal A losers stage - 5 at Estadio Raul Conti, Puerto Madryn.
The baseline ratings are close, 1443 to 1400, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Guillermo Brown, 40% against 30%. Attacking output favors Guillermo Brown on expected goals, 0.7 to 0.5 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 14%, over 2.5 goals around 8%. Draw no bet leans Guillermo Brown at 54%; double chance reads Guillermo Brown or draw 72%, Santamarina or draw 66%.
Guillermo Brown arrive steady: 2W-0D-3L from their last five (6/15 pts), 3 scored and 5 conceded. Recent results: W 1-0 v Santamarina, L 0-1 @ Costa Brava, W 2-1 v Juventud Unida Univ., L 0-1 @ Circulo Deportivo.
Santamarina are patchy: 1W-0D-4L from their last five (3/15 pts), 3 scored and 8 conceded. Recent results: L 0-1 @ Guillermo Brown, W 2-0 v Fundacion Amigos, L 1-5 @ Germinal de Rawson, L 0-1 v San Martín Mendoza.
Guillermo Brown hold the recent head-to-head, 5 wins to 1 with 4 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Guillermo Brown 1-0 Santamarina.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 51 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
