Where the market is wrong on Atlas W v Guadalajara W
Atlas W meet Guadalajara W in the Liga MX Femenil regular season - 6 at Estadio Jalisco, Guadalajara.
Guadalajara W rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1604 to 1400. Recent form leans Guadalajara W, 65% against 33%. Attacking output favors Guadalajara W on expected goals, 1.8 to 1.4 per match.
Atlas W arrive patchy: 1W-2D-2L from their last five (5/15 pts, 2 straight defeats), 5 scored and 12 conceded. Recent results: L 0-4 v Guadalajara W, L 1-6 @ Atlético San Luis W, W 2-0 v Tijuana W, D 1-1 @ Toluca W.
Guadalajara W are in good touch: 3W-0D-2L from their last five (9/15 pts), 12 scored and 7 conceded. Recent results: W 4-0 @ Atlas W, L 0-2 v Pumas UNAM W, L 1-3 @ Pachuca W, W 3-1 v Atlético San Luis W.
Guadalajara W hold the recent head-to-head, 9 wins to 0 with 1 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Atlas W 0-4 Guadalajara W.
The market prices ATL at 14% implied. Our number sits apart on Atlas W: a 7.1-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 56 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
