Persija v PSMS Medan: the model read
Persija meet PSMS Medan in the Piala Presiden group stage - 2. The model makes Persija the most likely outcome at 44%, with the full read 44% PER, 31% draw, 25% PSM.
Persija rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1638 to 1466. Recent form leans Persija, 68% against 45%. Attacking output favors Persija on expected goals, 1.8 to 1.1 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 39%, over 2.5 goals around 42%. Draw no bet leans Persija at 64%; double chance reads Persija or draw 75%, PSMS Medan or draw 56%.
Persija arrive in good touch: 3W-0D-2L from their last five (9/15 pts), 9 scored and 4 conceded. Recent results: L 0-1 @ Persebaya Surabaya, W 3-0 v Semen Padang, W 3-1 @ Persik Kediri, L 1-2 v Persib Bandung.
PSMS Medan are patchy: 1W-2D-2L from their last five (5/15 pts), 3 scored and 5 conceded. Recent results: L 0-2 v Port FC, D 1-1 @ Persiraja Banda Aceh, D 1-1 v Adhyaksa, W 1-0 v Sriwijaya FC.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 53 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
