Where the market is wrong on Kapaz v Turan
Kapaz meet Turan in the Premyer Liqa regular season - 3 at Ganja City Stadium, Tovuz.
Turan rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1569 to 1407. Recent form leans Turan, 60% against 34%. Attacking output favors Turan on expected goals, 1.3 to 0.7 per match.
Kapaz arrive steady: 2W-0D-3L from their last five (6/15 pts), 2 scored and 5 conceded. Recent results: W 1-0 v Turan, L 0-2 @ Sabah FA, L 0-1 v Neftchi Baku, L 0-2 @ Araz.
Turan are patchy: 1W-1D-3L from their last five (4/15 pts), 4 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: L 0-1 @ Kapaz, D 0-0 v Şamaxı FK, W 1-0 v Qabala, L 1-2 v Sabah FA.
Turan hold the recent head-to-head, 7 wins to 2 with 1 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Kapaz 1-0 Turan.
The market prices KAP at 19% implied. Our number sits apart on the draw: a 6.5-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 53 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
