Coastal Union v Mashujaa: the model read
Coastal Union meet Mashujaa in the Ligi kuu Bara regular season - 1 at Mkwakwani Stadium, Tanga. The model makes Coastal Union the most likely outcome at 37%, with the full read 37% COA, 36% draw, 28% MAS.
The baseline ratings are close, 1500 to 1420, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Coastal Union, 50% against 40%. Attacking output favors Coastal Union on expected goals, 1.3 to 0.5 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 21%, over 2.5 goals around 15%. Draw no bet leans Coastal Union at 57%; double chance reads Coastal Union or draw 72%, Mashujaa or draw 63%.
Coastal Union arrive steady: 2W-2D-1L from their last five (8/15 pts), 7 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: W 2-1 v Pamba Jiji, L 0-2 v Azam, D 1-1 @ Tabora United, W 3-1 @ KMC.
Mashujaa are steady: 2W-0D-3L from their last five (6/15 pts), 3 scored and 5 conceded. Recent results: L 0-1 v Tanzania Prisons, W 2-0 v KMC, W 1-0 @ Fountain Gate, L 0-2 @ Azam.
Coastal Union hold the recent head-to-head, 3 wins to 1 with 2 drawn across the last 6 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Coastal Union 1-0 Mashujaa.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 51 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
