Where the market is wrong on Durban City v Stellenbosch
Durban City meet Stellenbosch in the Premier Soccer League regular season - 5 at Chatsworth Stadium, Durban.
The baseline ratings are close, 1431 to 1489, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 43% against 50%. Attacking output favors Stellenbosch on expected goals, 1.0 to 0.8 per match.
Durban City arrive steady: 1W-3D-1L from their last five (6/15 pts, 4 unbeaten), 4 scored and 3 conceded. Recent results: D 0-0 v Stellenbosch, W 2-0 @ Kruger United, D 1-1 v Richards Bay, D 0-0 v Golden Arrows.
Stellenbosch are patchy: 1W-2D-2L from their last five (5/15 pts), 6 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: D 0-0 @ Durban City, L 0-1 @ Golden Arrows, W 3-1 v Marumo Gallants, D 3-3 @ Polokwane City.
Their last 3 meetings are tight — 3 drawn. Most recently they met in 2026: Durban City 0-0 Stellenbosch.
The market prices DUR at 35% implied. Our number sits apart on the draw: a 4.9-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 63 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
