St Patrick's Athl. v Shamrock Rovers: the model read
St Patrick's Athl. meet Shamrock Rovers in the FAI Cup round of 16 at Richmond Park, Dublin. The model makes Shamrock Rovers the most likely outcome at 37%, with the full read 32% ST , 31% draw, 37% SHA.
The baseline ratings are close, 1558 to 1650, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Shamrock Rovers, 68% against 57%. Attacking output favors Shamrock Rovers on expected goals, 1.7 to 1.6 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 51%, over 2.5 goals around 47%. Draw no bet leans Shamrock Rovers at 54%; double chance reads St Patrick's Athl. or draw 63%, Shamrock Rovers or draw 68%.
St Patrick's Athl. arrive steady: 2W-2D-1L from their last five (8/15 pts), 9 scored and 7 conceded. Recent results: D 1-1 v Dundalk, W 2-1 v Wexford, L 2-4 @ Doncaster, D 1-1 @ Waterford.
Shamrock Rovers are in good touch: 3W-0D-2L from their last five (9/15 pts), 11 scored and 7 conceded. Recent results: L 0-2 @ Ararat-Armenia, W 4-1 v Cork City, W 5-1 v Floriana, L 0-2 @ Floriana.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 51 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
