Flint City Bucks v Peoria

Flint City Bucks meet Peoria in the USL League Two quarter-finals. The model makes Flint City Bucks the most likely outcome at 41%, with the full read 41% FLI, 28% draw, 32% PEO.

The baseline ratings are close, 1753 to 1707, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 83% against 78%. Attacking output favors Flint City Bucks on expected goals, 2.6 to 2.5 per match.

Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 77%, over 2.5 goals around 81%. Draw no bet leans Flint City Bucks at 56%; double chance reads Flint City Bucks or draw 68%, Peoria or draw 59%.

Flint City Bucks arrive surging: 5W-0D-0L from their last five (15/15 pts, 5 straight wins), 13 scored and 2 conceded. Recent results: W 1-0 v Ventura County Fusion, W 4-0 v Peoria, W 2-1 v Steel City, W 2-0 v Buffalo.

Peoria are in good touch: 4W-0D-1L from their last five (12/15 pts), 15 scored and 8 conceded. Recent results: L 0-4 @ Flint City Bucks, W 4-0 v Minneapolis City, W 3-2 v Sueno, W 5-1 v Springfield.

The recent head-to-head is even, 1 apiece across the last 2 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Flint City Bucks 4-0 Peoria.

The market prices FLI at 54% implied. Our number sits apart on Peoria: a 8.0-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 52 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.