Figueirense v Barra: the model read
Figueirense meet Barra in the Copa Santa Catarina group stage - 2. The model makes the draw the most likely outcome at 35%, with the full read 32% FIG, 35% draw, 34% BAR.
The baseline ratings are close, 1489 to 1400, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Figueirense, 48% against 35%. Attacking output favors Figueirense on expected goals, 0.9 to 0.8 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 28%, over 2.5 goals around 19%. Draw no bet leans Barra at 51%; double chance reads Figueirense or draw 66%, Barra or draw 68%.
Figueirense arrive steady: 1W-3D-1L from their last five (6/15 pts), 3 scored and 4 conceded. Recent results: W 1-0 @ Santa Cruz, D 0-0 v Volta Redonda, L 1-3 @ Brusque, D 1-1 v Guarani Campinas.
Barra are patchy: 1W-1D-3L from their last five (4/15 pts, 2 straight defeats), 5 scored and 7 conceded. Recent results: L 0-1 @ Ypiranga-RS, L 1-2 v Santa Cruz, W 2-1 @ Confiança, L 1-2 @ Floresta.
Figueirense hold the recent head-to-head, 7 wins to 3 across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Figueirense 0-3 Barra.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 50 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
