Mafra v Vitória de Sernache: the model read
Mafra meet Vitória de Sernache in the Liga 3 regular season - 1 at Estadio Municipal de Mafra, Mafra. The model makes Vitória de Sernache the most likely outcome at 40%, with the full read 27% MAF, 33% draw, 40% VIT.
The baseline ratings are close, 1512 to 1604, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Vitória de Sernache, 68% against 50%. Attacking output favors Mafra on expected goals, 1.3 to 1.0 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 29%, over 2.5 goals around 24%. Draw no bet leans Vitória de Sernache at 60%; double chance reads Mafra or draw 60%, Vitória de Sernache or draw 73%.
Mafra arrive steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts), 9 scored and 9 conceded. Recent results: W 1-0 v Alverca, L 2-3 @ FC Fredericia, W 2-0 @ Esbjerg, L 1-3 @ CF Os Belenenses.
Vitória de Sernache are in good touch: 2W-3D-0L from their last five (9/15 pts, 5 unbeaten), 7 scored and 3 conceded. Recent results: D 1-1 @ Leça, D 1-1 v Louletano, W 3-0 @ Atlético Malveira, D 0-0 v Oliveira Hospital.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 52 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
