Where the market is wrong on Ross County v Hearts U21
Ross County meet Hearts U21 in the Challenge Cup group stage - 5 at Global Energy Stadium, Dingwall.
Ross County rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1742 to 1443. Recent form leans Ross County, 83% against 38%. Attacking output favors Ross County on expected goals, 3.5 to 1.4 per match.
Ross County arrive in good touch: 4W-0D-1L from their last five (12/15 pts, 4 straight wins), 29 scored and 4 conceded. Recent results: W 14-0 v Hearts U21, W 5-1 @ Clachnacuddin, W 2-0 @ Cove Rangers, W 8-0 v Queen of the South.
Hearts U21 are in good touch: 3W-0D-2L from their last five (9/15 pts), 15 scored and 26 conceded. Recent results: L 0-14 @ Ross County, W 5-3 @ Kelty Hearts, W 6-1 @ Gala Fairydean Rovers, L 0-5 @ Spartans.
Ross County hold the recent head-to-head, 1 wins to 0 across the last 1 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Ross County 14-0 Hearts U21.
The market prices ROS at 88% implied. Our number sits apart on Hearts U21: a 15.6-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 57 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
