Where the market is wrong on Hrvace v Jadran LP
Hrvace meet Jadran LP in the First NL regular season - 2 at Gradski stadion Hrvace, Hrvace.
Jadran LP rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1637 to 1408. Recent form leans Jadran LP, 68% against 33%. Attacking output favors Jadran LP on expected goals, 1.9 to 0.9 per match.
Hrvace arrive out of sorts: 0W-0D-5L from their last five (0/15 pts, 5 straight defeats), 2 scored and 13 conceded. Recent results: L 0-1 @ Opatija, L 1-4 v Jadran LP, L 0-3 @ Croatia Zmijavci, L 1-2 v Dubrava Zagreb.
Jadran LP are in good touch: 3W-2D-0L from their last five (11/15 pts, 5 unbeaten), 14 scored and 4 conceded. Recent results: D 1-1 v Dubrava Zagreb, W 4-1 @ Hrvace, D 2-2 v Opatija, W 1-0 v Križevci.
Hrvace hold the recent head-to-head, 5 wins to 4 with 1 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Hrvace 1-4 Jadran LP.
The market prices HRV at 37% implied. Our number sits apart on Jadran LP: a 17.0-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 85 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
