SSV Ulm 1846 v SGV Freiberg: the model read
SSV Ulm 1846 meet SGV Freiberg in the Regionalliga - SudWest sudwest - 5 at Donaustadion, Ulm. The model makes SSV Ulm 1846 the most likely outcome at 39%, with the full read 39% SSV, 27% draw, 34% SGV.
The baseline ratings are close, 1528 to 1466, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 53% against 45%. Attacking output favors SGV Freiberg on expected goals, 1.8 to 1.8 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 85%, over 2.5 goals around 89%. Draw no bet leans SSV Ulm 1846 at 53%; double chance reads SSV Ulm 1846 or draw 66%, SGV Freiberg or draw 61%.
SSV Ulm 1846 arrive surging: 5W-0D-0L from their last five (15/15 pts, 5 straight wins), 16 scored and 7 conceded. Recent results: W 3-1 v Bayern München II, W 2-1 v Augsburg II, W 4-3 v Eichstätt, W 4-1 @ TSV Berg.
SGV Freiberg are patchy: 0W-3D-2L from their last five (3/15 pts, 2 straight defeats), 10 scored and 18 conceded. Recent results: L 0-3 v 1899 Hoffenheim, L 1-6 v Hoffenheim II, D 4-4 @ Karlsruher SC, D 2-2 @ SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach.
SSV Ulm 1846 hold the recent head-to-head, 2 wins to 0 across the last 2 meetings. Most recently they met in 2023: SGV Freiberg 1-3 SSV ULM 1846.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 52 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
